The housing news this week has been a mixed bag, with good news on interest rates and a decline in new housing starts offset by a drop in new mortgage applications and with Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae following the lead of Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase and Bank of America in announcing a foreclosure freeze.
Thursday Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae followed the lead of many large private lenders and announced a 6-week moratorium on foreclosures and evictions of occupied homes, which will provide some temporary relief to the fire sale mentality in some districts. The move is practical as well as humanitarian as it will provide an opportunity for some of these homeowners to qualify for housing bailout refinance loans and for the lender’s workout departments to help avert some foreclosures in other ways. For more information about workout options and avoiding foreclosure see this page.
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported Fixed Rate Mortgage (FRM) rates down and 1-year Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) rates up for the week ending November 14 and Freddie Mac reported rates down across the board for the week ending November 20. The Mortgage Bankers Association also reported a 12.6% drop in new applications for home purchase mortgages. Refinance applications rose 2.6%.
Housing starts fell last month as builder sentiment hit another record low with Wells Fargo/National Association of Homebuilders reporting its Housing Market Index at 9. The index of sales expectations held steady.
Freddie Mac attributed the drop in interest rates to continued signs of economic weakness, which reduce bond market inflation fears, and noted that:
the Federal Reserve during its October 28-29 committee meeting lowered its economic growth forecasts for 2008 and 2009, according to its minutes released this week.
Possibly one of the best signs for the mortgage market and, eventually by extension, the housing market has been the recent narrowing of the gap between the Freddie Mac conforming 1-year ARMs and the Mortgage Bankers Association’s 1-year ARM average, which includes jumbos and other non-conforming mortgages. The MBAA rate had been reported above 7% even as the longer term rates were under 6%. Though the rate is still higher than the long term rates, there’s been a significant drop that indicates some improvement in the market for these loans.
Mortgage Bankers Association Average Mortgage Rates At a Glance
30-year FRM: 6.16%, 1.24 points*
15-year FRM: 5.87%, 1.24 points
1-year ARM: 6.80%, 0.63 points
Freddie Mac Conforming Rates At a Glance
- 30-year FRM: 6.04%, 0.7 point
- 15-year FRM: 5.73%, 0.7 point
- 5-year hybrid ARM: 5.87%, 0.6 point
- 1-year ARM: 5.29%, 0.5 point
* Points reported by Mortgage Bankers Association in this survey include origination fees as well as traditional discount points. Average rates are based on an 80% LTV loan. This means a loan amount no more than 80% of the property value as determined by the lower of the purchase price or appraised value. Typically this means a 20% down payment, though an 80% loan can also be achieved with a second mortgage carried by the seller or a third party lender for the difference between the actual down payment and 20%.
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